Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 202.168223 220.366655 238.892126 259.131260 280.589465 302.631828 326.955059
2025-02-02 179.915587 208.174771 238.151333 272.188216 309.631994 349.439906 394.830756
2025-02-09 161.385825 197.280266 236.803628 283.230914 335.948210 393.629259 461.187360
2025-02-16 145.214081 186.853509 234.303969 291.767759 358.852857 434.088606 524.219360
2025-02-23 123.774421 167.906883 219.982304 284.981246 362.933632 452.434307 561.942585
2025-03-02 107.739467 153.673992 209.673702 281.529186 369.808882 473.284052 602.229874
2025-03-09 96.328143 143.960135 203.794328 282.499691 381.274637 499.148515 648.359080
2025-03-16 87.490566 136.629046 200.099463 285.500691 394.745866 527.202626 697.189558
2025-03-23 82.460194 133.829369 201.801259 295.039814 416.237250 565.134263 758.383776
2025-03-30 76.610744 129.302971 200.738529 300.617080 432.495039 596.590314 811.876375
2025-04-06 69.686508 122.594642 196.167994 301.077622 441.820821 619.204008 854.440265
2025-04-13 63.699504 116.701824 192.239416 301.984252 451.432625 642.043646 897.342261
2025-04-20 60.843360 115.425402 194.857078 312.083796 473.711595 681.882351 962.963982
2025-04-27 57.538095 113.177011 195.903442 319.948723 493.116520 718.330098 1024.863446
2025-05-04 54.673028 111.366643 197.409235 328.376755 513.342843 756.078538 1088.901029
2025-05-11 51.740262 109.181484 198.167257 335.636170 532.001094 791.960022 1150.937797
2025-05-18 45.207006 100.336211 188.253531 326.899555 528.061846 797.565881 1173.318570
2025-05-25 40.315020 93.835430 181.516480 322.414594 529.740018 810.471648 1205.224075
2025-06-01 36.982832 89.800334 178.401387 323.113284 538.628163 833.094212 1250.140483
2025-06-08 34.415739 86.930884 176.966824 326.213700 550.902867 860.389562 1301.512078
2025-06-15 33.408235 86.944331 180.242661 336.601289 573.877763 902.632376 1373.394411
2025-06-22 31.689663 85.400249 180.789648 342.671637 590.562380 936.317813 1434.014310
2025-06-29 29.153523 81.960398 177.895442 343.141266 598.885054 958.375490 1478.987564